Survivor: Cook Islands - Aired Dec. 14 - Commentary

So I've been arguing that the Aitu Four should stick together until all of Raro has been eliminated. I was wrong. It really is in the best interests of Yul, Sundra and Becky to vote out Ozzy the first chance they get now. With Pavrty gone and Adam as the lone Raro left, they can now afford to get rid of Ozzy.
Pavrarti, as it turned out, was the biggest threat left from Raro. If anyone was going to swing anyone in Aitu, it was going to be her. Becky and Sundra appear to be immune to Adam's considerable charms... HA! Damn, I was almost able to keep a straight face at the end of that sentence! Okay, it's easy for Becky and Sundra to be immune to Adam. He's not a bad looking guy, but apart from not being the smartest monkey in the barrel, I surely can't be the only woman in the world who can't stand that he can't seem to keep his tongue restrained to the confines of his mouth.
As for Yul, forget his loyalty, he smart enough to know he should go to the final three with Becky and Sundra. Even if Ozzy decides to make a move now with Adam, what kind of move could they make?
The next tribal council should be an easy one. If Ozzy wins immunity, vote out Adam. If Adam wins, vote out Ozzy. If neither wins, vote out Ozzy because it's now time to get him out the first moment he's vulnerable.
All that said, there is still once chance for Adam and Ozzy. They need to get together and work on Sundra. Open her eyes to how tight Yul and Becky are. She'd be stupid to go for it, as her best chance at final two (unless there is a final three at the final Tribal Council as it looks like there might be) is to go to the final three with Yul and Becky. Becky's been fiercely loyal to Yul so far, but both she and Sundra must realize that their best chance of winning this game is to go to the end together, and with Survivor's history of final immunity challenges requiring balance and/or stamina, between the two of them they'd have a good chance of winning that final competition. Well, Becky moreso than Sundra.
Actually, their best chance of winning would be to go up against Adam. Hmmmmm. Yul is safe at the next Tribal Council, but after that his hidden idol is no longer any good. If Ozzy goes next, it would be a toss-up after that whether they should vote off Adam or Yul. The biggest problem with taking Adam is that there are so many Raro members in the jury that it would really be tough to beat him, unless there are enough people who are still pissed off that they went before Jonathan. Brad, Jenny, and Rebecca are going to be tough to predict when it comes to their votes. Nate, Candice (the evil one, not the tough and awesome Kandice from Amazing Race, just to make that clear) and Porvraty would easily vote for Adam at the end. Jonathan is another tough call.
Ooooh, this is good. So many possibilities! This is what I love about Survivor!
Adam needs to get together with Ozzy, and both of them need to work on Sundra.
Ozzy, well, see above.
Sundra and Becky need to work together on their end game. Becky, unfortunately for her, may be too loyal to Yul and seems to be resolute on her plan to get to the final two with him. They do need to get Ozzy out, but then face a very tough choice after that, because neither of them could beat Adam or Yul at this point.
Yul is good to go through the next Tribal Council. After that, he needs to win immunity. I can't see the hidden idol do anything more than keep him safe one last time. The only way for it to come into play would be if a majority decides to vote for him just to force its use, but that would be a pointless exercise at this late point in the game.
Finally, I'd like to make an argument in Becky's favour. She and Sundra seem to be viewed as riding coattails through this season (something I still see as a valid strategy, with its biggest evil being that it's kind of boring to watch). That accusation seems to be valid in Sundra's case, but not Becky's. Sure, she hasn't been a threat at competitions, but few people have been with Ozzy in the picture. However, she has been one of the leaders in the alliance. Yul may have been a lot more visible, but Becky has been a strong voice.
It wasn't Yul who wanted Jonathan out last week. And who convinced him this week that Ozzy needs to go? Don't mistake lack of air time as not having an effect on the game. As for those on the island, Yul having the hidden idol has been an influence on how they view him, and I can't help thinking a small dose of sexism comes into it too. He's the guy! Of course he's the leader! He is a leader, but he shares much more of that role with Becky than people give her credit for. That's good for staying safe, but in the end it could cost her a million dollars.